ELO-Based Sports Models
Smarter picks.
Tennis.
Basketball.
Surface-specific ELO ratings for ATP and WTA. Team projection models for NBA. Every pick is data — not a hunch. Free daily tips on Telegram.
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Today's Tennis Pick
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🏀 NBA Playoffs
NBA Model Active
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How the model works
Live example — Sinner vs Alcaraz
🎾 Roland Garros · Grand Slam · Clay · Real ELO data
Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz
Probability waterfall
BASE
50.0%
ELO
+5.2
SURFACE
+2.1
FINAL
57.2%
Jannik Sinner57.2%
Carlos Alcaraz42.8%
Edge: +8.4%
Value bet
Fair: 1.75
Bookie: 1.90
Surface ELO radar
Sinner
ELO 2339
H:2273 C:2242 G:2098
H:2273 C:2242 G:2098
Alcaraz
ELO 2272
H:2198 C:2212 G:2139
H:2198 C:2212 G:2139
Correct scores · Best of 5
Sinner 3-1
28.4%
Fair: 3.52
Alcaraz 3-1
21.3%
Fair: 4.69
Sinner 3-2
18.1%
Fair: 5.52
Sinner 3-0
10.7%
Fair: 9.35
Subscribers see this for every match. Handicap lines, correct scores, surface radar, edge % — all live from the model.
Model Access →
Surface ELO Rankings
Top 5 ATP & WTA
🎾 ATP Rankings
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🎾 WTA Rankings
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Today's Model Picks
Queen's Club · Grass
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Fetching picks
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Model Access
Full model data. Every match.
🎾 Tennis ATP
Model Access ATP
£7.99
per month
Value % every match
Handicap lines & cover prob
Correct score odds
Surface ELO radar
Court speedometer
🎾 Tennis Pro
ATP + WTA
£10.99
per month
Everything in ATP
Full WTA coverage
WTA surface ELO radar
WTA value detection
Priority Telegram access
🏀 NBA
NBA Model
£3.99
per month
Full NBA model data
ML value detection
Spread cover probabilities
Over/under projections
Projected scores
BEST VALUE
🎾🏀 All Access
Everything + VIP
£16.99
was £22.97
per month
Full ATP + WTA model
Full NBA model
VIP tips channel
Early access to picks
Direct model access
Follow @hmjorotips · Free picks on Telegram
H
Harry
@hmjorotips
🎾 Tennis
🏀 NBA
About
Two models. One process.
Zero guesswork.
Zero guesswork.
I'm Harry — building surface-specific ELO models for tennis and team projection models for NBA. Every prediction comes from data, not instinct. Wins and losses tracked publicly — no cherry picking.
The tennis model runs separate ELO ratings for clay, hard, grass and Grand Slams. The NBA model projects scores, spreads and totals from offensive and defensive team ratings.